Predictions for the Money Transfer Industry in 2022

Recent years have certainly reshaped the world of money transfers. The pandemic presented new challenges and the industry responded with innovative solutions. In 2020, we saw a great demand for mobile and online payments, driven by Covid-imposed restrictions worldwide – an astonishing 62% of banking customers considered switching from physical to digital platforms in 2020 alone [1]. It’s clear that this pace of change is showing no sign of stopping, so let’s explore the new trends and our predictions for 2022.

Cash v Digital: The Consequence of an Age-Old Question

An answer commonly sought in the money transfer space is whether the competition between cash and digital money transfer finally has a winner. Although it’s clear that cash isn’t going anywhere yet [2], digital remittances are continuing to rise, even outside the peak of the pandemic.

Customers and Money transfer Operators (MTOs) alike value convenience, security and cost-effectiveness; all of which can be easily offered by mobile and online payment systems. For example, eKYC, digital AML, payment gateway and other 3^rd party API solutions solve regulatory issues and give instant access to remitter, beneficiary and payment information. In addition, they also allow for changes to exchange rates while offering transparency to supply chain members and automating manual tasks.

As more MTOs enter the mobile money transfer space [3] – and the number of people with access to mobile devices increases [4] – digital money transfers will continue to evolve and thrive. This evolution has already made the role of technology solutions providers in this space mandatory. As a consequence, we predict we’ll be seeing these providers become a permanent part of the supply chain landscape.

Rise of Money Transfer Machines

Over the past 2 years, the money transfer industry has witnessed an array of technology features – that normally would have taken years to develop – reach the market within just a matter of months. Features such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Big Data, Blockchain, Digital Wallets, Machine Learning (ML) and Open Banking are all entering the money transfer space. As a result, the role of technology solutions providers is becoming a mainstay in the landscape, and we can expect 2022 to be the year where these features are implemented.

The Uptake of Blockchain Technology

Most recently, there has been an increased use of blockchain-based technology for cross-border payments. The decentralised nature of blockchain not only speeds up transactions and reduces costs, but also has inherent security features which are tough to breach [5]. In addition, blockchain technology has an innate value that can eliminate the need for pre-funding in money transfers. Consequently, it can eliminate the biggest stumbling blocks for fintech start-ups in the money transfer space.

Open Banking

Another feature we’re currently seeing increasingly utilised in Europe is Open Banking. With the ability to connect banks, technical providers, aggregators and other 3^rd parties, Open Banking has allowed for a more seamless, transparent, secure and cost-effective experience for individuals.

Open Banking-powered money transfers appear to be improving the entire customer experience, reducing transaction costs and processing speeds in comparison to more traditional methods of payment. With the growing demand for improvement we’re currently seeing, it comes as no surprise that this is one trend we’re expecting to thrive.

Mobile Wallets

We’re also expecting that the definition of a mobile wallet will change in 2022. Whether it’s a send or receive market, the wallet functionality will add a host of services, including utility bill payments, airtime top-ups, micro-loans and wallet settlements. The digital wallet is en route to becoming a universal mobile bank account, through which all daily transactions of varying types will occur, regardless of where the individual is based.

What can we expect now?

Companies from neighbouring verticals such as hospitality, travel and telecoms are considering diversifying their product and service portfolios. Telcos, for example, are exploring ways to offer their own proprietary wallet with a variety of features, including money transfers, to customers. Taxi businesses are a further example of companies that are opening up remittance channels, so their drivers who are paid into wallets can send money directly from the wallet to their loved ones.

As a result, we can expect new alliances between previously disconnected verticals to take root. We can expect a rise in more Fintechs using a plug-and-play model to deliver a new breed of services involving money transfers. And finally, we can expect more aggregators to facilitate open-loop payments with instant delivery times.

To conclude, the main thing we’re predicting this year is diversification. From Open Banking and digital payment solutions to the coming together of firms from different verticals, we’re predicting more opportunities for Telcos, retail shops, MTOs, aggregators to deliver value to the customer through the digital wallet. The customer – the individual with a digital wallet – has never been in a better position to avail a variety of fully transparent services at cost-effective rates.

References

[1] https://newsroom.mastercard.com/eu/documents/mastercard-evolution-of-banking-2020-infographic/

[2] [3] https://www.remitone.com/ipr-report-2021/

[4] https://www.statista.com/statistics/330695/number-of-smartphone-users-worldwide/

[5] https://www.ibm.com/uk-en/topics/blockchain-security

What next?

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The Future of Remittance – The trends and strategies that will shape 2021

The World Bank predicted that global remittances would decline by 20% as a direct result of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. It remains to be seen if there is any truth to that shocking figure but one thing is for sure – the sector suffered in 2020 and continues to do so in 2021. The question is, are we already on the road to recovery? And if not, how do we get there?

We spoke to three of our clients and partners from three different regions to gather their thoughts and gain some global insight on what lies ahead for the money transfer industry in 2021 – Hugo Cuevas-Mohr, President & CEO of Mohr World Consulting, Walter D’Cruz, CEO of Moneo Solutions and Nadeem Qureshi, CTO at USI Money. Our very own associate sales director Oussama Kseibati quizzed these thought leaders on the key strategies, the technological innovations that might start to emerge and how traditional agent-based MTOs should be reacting to them.

A year of recovery

Oussama began the discussion by reminiscing on how 2020 was a year that necessitated a wider move to digital finance for the entire financial sector: “For remittance, this meant an increase in the use of digital solutions for cross-border payments.” This included a shift to a surprising number of traditionally cash-based agents using digital means to serve clients, with around 60% of domestic and international cash transfers taking place online.

So the stage has already been set. But according to Hugo, if 2020 was a year of forced change then 2021 is going to be a year of resilience and leaning into the challenges posed by anomalies such as COVID-19 and Brexit. From where he stands, the remittance sector has already proved itself to be a resilient force. Indeed for Hugo and Mohr specifically it has been a very challenging time. Their target market is Filipinos sending money home and many Filipinos working in the UK have seen their incomes reduce or disappear completely in the last 12 months as they tend to work in medical and home care sectors.

He explains: “The era of COVID-19 is an uncertain one and that uncertainty is one of the main issues for the global remittance industry, especially when trying to predict recovery. However, despite the issues, the money transfer industry has seen a lot of recovery and migrant communities are continuing to send money to their families, regardless of changes in their own employment situation.”

Nadeem agrees and asserts that: “Despite the decline last year, the money transfer industry is a resilient one and is a sector which will certainly improve a lot faster than many others.” They also both agree that while they feel recovery is indeed already on the cards, we’ll need to wait until we see the data before we draw any solid conclusions.

Strategies for success

Of course, while the sector might be incredibly resilient, it is also far from bulletproof. This means there are going to need to be some solid strategies to help traditional agents-based actors adapt to the digital push of 2020. The primary trend from which all other trends seem to emerge is a mass migration into the digital realm. This will be particularly relevant for small-medium MTOs, as they will have the flexibility to push further into digital solutions as the industry continues its recovery.

For Nadeem, however, he feels it’s the medium-large institutions that will be leading the way. He explains: “Many of these larger MSBs will be down-streaming activities, hoping for increased access to expanding pay-out networks and other digital solutions, such as e-wallets. As the industry recovers and the needs of larger business begin to grow again, the MSBs will also be looking for new ways to grow too, and this will heavily centre on the digital push.”

Oussama then turns the focus onto blockchain and cryptocurrency, stating: “As a direct result of the pandemic some currencies are going to be more volatile and people could seek safe havens in cryptocurrency, which is something many banks are already doing.”

Walter agrees on this increase in blockchain adoption, which is being fuelled by the mainstream capital markets. He adds: “The popularity and interest surrounding blockchain has been growing for several years now but in 2020 we had begun to see it really explode. As well as the obvious focus on cryptocurrency such as bitcoin, blockchain is also being used by enterprise governments and financial institutions to assist with seamlessly managing the exchange of value.” 

Hugo, meanwhile, believes that there will be increased pressure on MTOs for transparency when it comes to fees and FX rates and that blockchain will definitely help with this. And with major names such as JP Morgan already throwing their hats into the ring, blockchain could very well end up being the major player that catalyses recovery as we move deeper into 2021. He also feels that we’ll be seeing more companies working internally to lower costs and more partnerships and integrations by year’s end.

Derisking and the challenger bank solution

According to Hugo, 2020 was the year of the digital tsunami and 2021 is going to be the year of the blockchain and cryptocurrency tsunami and he feels this is going to have a major impact on derisking, which is worse in some countries than in others but is still a global problem. He does also believe, however, that challenger banks might be the solution as long as they are properly integrated with fintech.

He says: “The position of banks as integrators of other services might be making it easier for other banks. This industry has to rely on these partnerships between the new banks and the fintechs and allow them to create solutions together. COVID has certainly pushed that forward, which I guess you could say is something of a silver lining.”

Above all, however, he believes that it’s creativity that is pushing the industry forward and he is inspired by all of the new players doing the groundwork in that regard. Indeed, he feels that’s where the potential for blockchain comes in. 

Oussama asks whether there are “solutions out there with companies acting as an aggregator to open up space as a quicker route to market for smaller MTOs and whether or not the big banks will change their attitude towards MTOs accordingly.” He adds: “With HSBC being fined £1.2 billion as a result of derisking recently, it’s unlikely the larger banks are going to shift their viewpoint but challenger banks are coming through to fill that space.”

According to Walter: “The reason they won’t support MTOs is that you’re not only essentially taking their business away by cutting into a piece of their pie but in their eyes, the risk involved is greater than the value that MTO might bring to the table and that’s all down to the fact there’s a lack of transparency between the bank’s compliance and the MTO.”

For Nadeem, meanwhile, he can see major bank attitudes towards derisking getting worse as the cost and the risk in terms of the fines is just too great compared to the benefits. However, he believes the challenger banks might offer a solution here. He explains: “The challenger banks entering the market are not necessarily going to solve the problem but the smaller MTOs looking for partners are going to have a much better chance at finding partnerships with these challengers than their larger counterparts.”

Then, of course, there is the impact of Brexit to unpack and digest. Generally speaking, our talking heads concluded that there is no need for MTOs to panic as long as they can learn to adapt. There are certainly going to be losses for any MTO based in the UK or Europe that deals with those markets, but London will remain a major financial centre and the centre must hold. For more on their thoughts, you can read our full piece on what Brexit means for the remittance sector – https://www.remitone.com/brexit-is-a-done-deal-but-what-does-that-mean-for-the-remittance-sector/

Will 2021 be the year of innovation or survival?

Walter feels 2021 is going to be more about simply “getting through it” than anything else, but that doesn’t mean he’s without hope. He explains: “I don’t necessarily think this year will initially be about the deployment of new technology. A lot of businesses are still recovering from the fallout of the pandemic so they don’t necessarily have the resources available to do a complete revamp.”

The improvements, he feels will be in an “explosion of partnerships,” because fintechs don’t have the resources to do everything alone, whether that’s compliance, risk or customer service. So they will need the help of both larger partners and the ‘little guys’, such as MTOs. He continues: “More connections and lower costs are going to be the case, broadly speaking for 2021 and it’s concepts like the RemitONE ecosystem that are going to help add value across the whole chain.”

Hugo agrees that 2021 is going to be a year of partnerships and collaboration and a shift in mentality across the board. He argues that MSBs should “forget about doing everything themselves. Everything will be almost modular because, particularly for the smaller companies, somebody else will be able to do one specific thing better and cheaper than you can.” Right now it would appear that we’re living in a world of APIs and developments that are great for small companies which can lower their costs and gain access to these solutions, whether that’s blockchain or something we haven’t even seen yet.

Nadeem, meanwhile, speaks of an e-digital compliance evolution: “When you have a sector with a large amount of competition it’s always going to be about who can provide the best user journey. Digital footprints are starting to grow and Fintechs are challenging regulators and pushing them to improve things, whether that’s through something as advanced as iris scanning technology or as simple as syncing their platform with social media to onboard customers more efficiently.” 

As Oussama sums up: “It’s going to be a year of smaller MTOs challenging the way things are being executed from a more modular approach through blockchain or other methods and we will continue to see this evolution going into 2022 and beyond.”

A beacon of hope

Throughout the talk, our experts also touched on several other more specific topics regarding the regulatory uncertainties in the Nigerian market to the general emerging markets in the African continent and the cost of acquiring new customers. To see the whole discussion for yourself, you can do so right here.

But the session ended on a resolutely positive note. Our experts spoke of advice for start-up money remittance businesses with no prior experience of the business and suggested that it was still a sector ripe with potential as long as these aspirant start-ups were willing to learn, read, research and understand the market. 

They also reiterated what appeared to be the crux of the discussion – that all the different strands of the financial sector need to start working together and forging deeper connections if they hope to succeed and thrive in 2021. That will lead to greater transparency, lower costs and more innovation and RemitONE’s deep ecosystem and malleable compliance network is the perfect middleman to help build and maintain those connections.

For more information or to speak to one of our experts please email marketing@remitone.com